{"id":1413,"date":"2017-07-14T11:06:44","date_gmt":"2017-07-14T10:06:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/?p=1413"},"modified":"2018-04-14T11:07:58","modified_gmt":"2018-04-14T10:07:58","slug":"accountable-care-systems-special-edition-july-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/?p=1413","title":{"rendered":"ACCOUNTABLE CARE SYSTEMS: SPECIAL EDITION &#8211; July 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Issue: 50<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>July 2017<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This occasional newsletter is researched, written and edited by a group of concerned residents in Ealing, West London who want to preserve our NHS. We view the wholesale engagement of private, for-profit healthcare service suppliers as unnecessary, profligate and dangerous. Increased financial funding is what is needed in our NHS \u2013 not financial cuts, closure of vital services or privatisation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>ACCOUNTABLE CARE SYSTEMS:<\/b> <b>SPECIAL EDITION<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Accountable Care Systems (ACSs) are Now Flavour of the Month <\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The always excellent \u2018Health Service Journal\u2019 (HSJ) analysed potential care reforms under a future Conservative Government in its 30 May 2017 issue. At the time the HSJ article was written and published most observers predicted that the future Conservative Government as of 9 June 2017 would have a huge majority. This turned out not to be the case so some of the controversial reforms detailed and picked over below may be delayed or may not now come about.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The article led on the fact that NHS England (NHSE) is preparing to announce the first set of the newly christened \u2018Accountable Care Systems\u2019 (ACSs) \u2013 see below. (The NHS\u2019s 12 month nomenclature \u2018journey\u2019 began with the US-style \u2018Accountable Care Organisations\u2019 in summer 2016, which then morphed into \u2018Accountable Care Partnerships\u2019 and is currently \u2018ACSs\u2019!). Still we shouldn\u2019t get too hung up on the naming merry-go-round &#8211; but we should focus on the potentially chaotic impact of ACSs. On 15 June 2017 NHSE duly rolled out the pioneer ACSs \u2013 details on this later in the newsletteron. The HSJ author is Dave West and in his very extensive review and analysis he identifies many stumbling blocks to achieving ACS nirvana.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">First though let\u2019s just refresh ourselves with what ACSs are all about:<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ The major STP delivery vehicles for significant financial cuts and improved ways of working in delivering healthcare and social care services<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ In fact, it\u2019s now clear that eventually all STPs will become ACSs<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ \u00a0Consortia of NHS Trusts, CCGs, Local Authorities, GP Federations, charities, voluntary bodies and private companies<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ 10\/15 year fixed price contracts to deliver specific services, to specific populations at a price calculated on the basis on an annual \u2018capitation\u2019 amount (\u00a3xxx\/head multiplied by the population number)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ Service suppliers are paid a bonus if they can demonstrate successful cost cutting <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ Attempting to deliver integrated healthcare and social care<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ Attempting \u2018\u2026to solve the problems of fragmentation, misaligned incentives, duplication of efforts, unclear access and long term system sustainability\u2019<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ \u00a0The trashing of the Health &amp; Social Care Act 2012 \u2018marketisation\u2019 model of commissioners and service suppliers \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ \u00a0Ringing the death knell for CCGs, as ACSs will hold sway across most of the care service landscape and will determine who gets paid for what and how much.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ ACSs will be major private organisations holding \u00a3billion+ contracts<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ As with PFIs we might see ACS contracts traded and changing hands over time<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dave categorises the stumbling blocks into groups. I have attempted to summarise his enlightened scrutiny and added some of my own comments:<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Organisational Structure\/Business Type<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Just what kind of organisational structure(s) will ACSs adopt? Also what business type will they operate under? \u00a0(At an NHS NW London ACP seminar in September 2016 David Freemen (ACP boss of five CCGs) stated that in his region each 10 year ACP (now ACS) would choose its own business type (e.g. alliances, joint ventures, PLCs, PPPs?). BTW he envisioned five ACSs in NW London \u2013 all of which would be functional and not geographic.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>ACS Details<\/b><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Where are the ACS details? Various Local Authorities (including Ealing, Hammersmith &amp; Fulham, and Liverpool) refused to sign up to their STPs because of the paucity of details. Councils in Staffordshire, Devon, and Oxford have voiced serious concerns about funding challenges and lack of information inherent in their STPs. All Councils have battered social care budgets which are under threat from the equally cash-strapped healthcare bodies. Is the Master\/Slave relationship between healthcare and social care commissioners and services suppliers truly to be \u2018consigned to the dustbin of history\u2019?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How do GPs and GP Federations fit into this? What about patient choice? If there are multiple ACSs across the same geography, just how will they co-exist? And if not all healthcare and social services are delivered through ACSs, how do the non-ACS \u2018legacy\u2019 service suppliers relate to the ACSs? No doubt CCGs will soon atrophy and be powerless \u2013 so who would \u2018commission\u2019 these legacy non-ACS services?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Social Care<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Current social care funding, policy and service level quality is a shambles. Future social care funding, plans and policies are in chaos <\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Are ACS Solutions Viable?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Re-organisation will probably not create \u2018accountable care\u2019. Scrutiny and evidence is needed to verify that ACS \u2018solutions\u2019 are likely to \u2018solve\u2019 the current problems.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Accountability and Governance<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Under the current proposed arrangements, local accountability for money spent and service improvements is clearly missing. A massive re-organisation (back to PCT-type directly allocated budgets) might help here. Where is the governance structure for ACSs and for STPs themselves for that matter? Almost any \u2018stay the same\u2019 or \u2018revolutionise how we do things\u2019 is unlikely to address the fact that funding is not meeting unavoidable cost pressures.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>No Immediate Universal Roll-Out of ACSs<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Surely launching a few ACSs across England \u2013 which embody untested funding\/allocation models \u2013 is a huge risk even if they all succeed (which is unlikely given previous ACO-type attempts). It is by no means clear just how ACS success might be \u2018measured\u2019. It won\u2019t make accountability any clearer \u2013 and we\u2019ll have a patchwork quilt of \u2018good, early\u2019 regions with ACSs and \u2018bad, later\u2019 regions with no ACSs. Seven million English citizens could benefit from these early ACSs \u2013 if they succeed. This leaves 58.5 million citizens being serviced by (sometime) later ACS service configurations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>No Parliamentary Scrutiny<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At last someone has suggested submitting the STP\/ACS approach to parliamentary scrutiny (not before time either). If what comes out of this is intelligent scrutiny, it must be worth doing. If the MPs and the Lords throw it out \u2013 so be it. But if they bless it (and hopefully improve on it), then at least we might move nationally in a co-ordinated, legal fashion.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Administration Costs<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Scrapping CCGs won\u2019t save us that much cash. Running the CCGs in England \u2018only\u2019 costs us \u00a31.2 billion. After scrapping the commissioner\/service supplier model, you still have administration costs. Trailblazer DevoManc has an annual administration budget of \u00a38 million for example. Thus would translate to \u00a3152 million across England in a post CCG world. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>CCGs Merging Before Dying<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CCGs could merge. (In Ealing where I live our CCG is on its second marriage with other adjacent CCGs!). Dave West sees financial risks of distraction and disruption caused by CCG mergers. In the world of NW London CCGs there are clear conflicts of interest. Ealing CCG should be concerned more about not closing Ealing District General Hospital than the CCG NW London \u2018Collaboration\u2019of eight CCGs should be. The (non-statutory) CCG collaboration should be more concerned about attempting to provide healthcare service equitably to 2.1 million people across the whole of North West London.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Overhead Slashing<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Accountants will always be keen on merging and eliminating costly duplication of services like HR, admin, PR, IT and expensive management. However merging NHS England (NHSE) and NHS Improvement (NHSI) might not make either organisation more effective. Some have also suggested throwing Health Education England and Public Health England in with NHSE and NHSI. This would create a centralised monster of some 15,500 staff. Mergers can also be very messy with long running \u2018tribal\u2019 battles being fought over, often for years. There are reports of continuing staff turmoil at NHSI. This follows the creation of NHSI over 14 months ago through the merger of Monitor, the NHS Trust Development Authority and some other smaller NHS patient safety, change management and management development specialist bodies. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And anyway Dave West sensibly states that \u2018most of these people should rightly be put back in separate, credible local and regional tiers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Brexit and a Labour Government \u2013 Game Changers?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Brexit may (or may not) deliver us from the European Commission\u2019s Compliance and Competition Rules. If a Labour Government should come to power it has promised to repeal the Health and Social Care Act 2012. Should that possibility heave into view I\u2019m sure HSJ\/Dave West, I and others will put the Labour care services proposals under the microscope.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Mental Health &#8211; the Bridesmaid and Never the Bride<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The herd of elephants in the room not mentioned by Dave West\/HSJ is mental health. The Tory manifesto promised \u00a31billion extra cash by 2021 The pro rata rate across the 60 NHS Mental Health Trusts would mean a 16.8% increase in income for my regional Mental Health Trust (WLMHT). Now that could be beneficial and the current four year wait by patients in WLMHT for a programme with a psychologist might be reduced &#8211; if trained pychologists were to become available. However should an ACS take over providing mental health and social care services, would the extra money be given to WLMHT or to the ACS? If it\u2019s the ACS, the annual capitation amount determined by the ACS would determine how much cash was given to WLMHT.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Eight \u2018Blessed\u2019 ACSs Set Out on a Journey to Who Knows Where<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Like the Pilgrim Fathers leaving Plymouth bound for the \u2018unknown\u2019 New World in 1620, Accountable Care Systems (ACSs) set out in England bound for who knows where on 15 June 2017. As Simon Stevens \u2013 NHS England\u2019s boss &#8211; waved goodbye to these ACSs, he confused onlookers by changing the mission statement from what he had first trotted out with consultants McKinsey &amp; Co at the World Economic Forum (WEC) meeting in Davos in 2012. Instead of 10\/15 year contracts he gave them \u00a0four year, grant-aided contracts. Instead of robust fixed price cost cutting mandates, he gave them each (pro rata) \u00a314 million in annual grants. He promised that in time all 44 Footprints would morph into Accountable Care Systems..<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Just who are the eight grant funded ACS \u2018experimenters\u2019? Let\u2019s now have a peek at what we know about them. I\u2019ll also throw in what I know of the ACS manoeuvering in the devolved Greater Manchester (\u2018Devo-Manc Health\u2019) project \u2013 which Stevens describes as having \u2018advanced arrangements\u2019. There\u2019s also the Northumberland ACS, and the potential ACS in West, North and East Cumbria. Finally we\u2019ll pick over the bones of the ACS failures at Cambridge and Peterborough and Torbay and South Devon.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>South Yorkshire and Bassetlaw ACS<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This will be one of the first ACSs to becomes operational. Its aim is to \u2018\u2026link local hospitals together to improve their clinical and financial viability\u2019. The consortium line up is seven NHS hospital trusts &#8211; covering 15 hospital sites, which employ 45,000 staff and service 2.3 million residents. It calls itself an \u2018Acute Care Federation\u2019.The nascent ACS (an NHS \u2018Vanguard\u2019 site in 2015) claimed benefits already achieved include saving almost \u00a31 million by pooling purchasing and using a shared IT system.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Frimley Heath ACS<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Known as Frimley Health and Care System (FHCS) it is a massive consortium of 30 public and private care providers. Five CCGs, five GP Federations, 10 Local, District and County Authorities, two Ambulance trusts, five mental health and community providers (including Virgin Care) are included. 750,000 residents will have all their health and social care service needs provide by the FHCS ACS. Cuts to hospital services are on the menu and replacement by our old friend \u2018out-of-hospital services\u2019. The logistics, management and political skills needed to orchestrate 30 mostly public bodies will be immense. It all may prove insurmountable.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b> Nottinghamshire ACS<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Nottingham ACS is made up of over seven public bodies and the private healthcare company Circle Health. It appears to be the merged entity of two NHS Vanguard sites. The consortia calls itself \u2018The Greater Nottingham Transformation Partnership\u2019. Its plan is \u2018to deliver whole system integration of hospital, social and primary care with a single outcomes -based capitation contract\u2019. Data sharing between primary, secondary and GP service \u00a0providers is a key feature of the plan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Blackpool and Fylde Coast ACS<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Two CCGs, two NHS Foundation Trusts, Lancashire County and Blackpool Councils have united as the \u2018Local Health Economy\u2019. The focus is supporting patients with long-term conditions, more community support and \u2018patient centred services\u2019. \u00a0In October 2015, the consortium received an NHS England \u2018Transformation Fund\u2019 grant of \u00a34.26 million. Apparently 1,000 people were being cared for as from 1 April 2016. Plans to extend the project to embrace Pennine Lancashire, Central and West Lancashire \u00a0and Morcambe Bay were announce on 31 March 2017.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Dorset<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Three Hospital Trusts are partnering together in this ACS. Its aim is to establish sustainable models of care for in and out-of-hospital care. A key goal is meeting the needs of local people 24 <\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Luton, with Milton Keynes and Bedfordshire<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This ACS is not one of the 2015 NHS Vanguard sites. The ACS is made of \u00a03 CCGs, 4 Local Authorities and 12 NHS bodies. But there is dissension in the ranks. The Mayor of Bedford and Council leaders complained that they were pressurised to sign up to the ACS. They refused. \u00a0A Governor of Luton and Dunstable University Hospital also went public and voiced his concerns about STP\/ACS service closure plans and increasing bureaucracy in care delivery.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>West Berkshire<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Another ACS which has no Vanguard heritage. NHS Trusts and CCGs are partnering to organise primary care into larger GP practice \u2018hubs\u2019. Some outpatient services will move from hospitals to hubs. There will be increasing services provision for the frailest. Mental health services will be expanded. Separate providers will be required to integrate their services.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Buckinghamshire<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">No Vanguard heritage. This ACS comprises 3 Hospital Trusts, 1 Ambulance Trust, 2 CCGs, 1 County Council, and 1 GP Federation. Its aims are fairly bland i.e. improvements in local health and care. When ACS details were leaked in December 2016, complaints were made by a local GP, Oxford Patient Voice and the Oxford East MP. Major complaints were about secrecy and lack of public debate.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Greater Manchester<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Devo-Manc Health is the biggest, most advanced (and most complex) ACS in England. The ACS plan was launched in December 2015. It\u2019s integrated healthcare and social care services on a grand scale \u2013 2.8 million people, 37 statutory bodies, 100,000 staff and 563 care homes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In March 2016, Greater Manchester took control of an annual care services budget of \u00a36 billion. NHS England chipped in with a \u2018transformation\u2019 grant of \u00a3450 million over five years. But, here\u2019s the killer\u2026by 2021 annual savings of \u00a32 billion have to be achieved. So here we are 15 months later and there seems to be little or no announced progress on cost reduction, care integration or service improvements.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Have 37 statutory bodies, including six different business models ever worked successfully together on any project in England?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Dudley<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dudley<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CCG launched its procurement process in December 2016. The Invitation to Tender asked for responses from organisations to run integrated population health and social care services for over 30,000 people. The ACS \u2018flavour\u2019 is labelled a \u2018Multi-speciality Community Provider\u2019. The intention is that a single entity will deliver services including community based physical health for adults and children, some outpatient services including GMS, PMS and APMS (flavours of GP contracts), local enhanced services, Urgent Care Centres and GP out-of-hours care, while adult social care services will be phased in. GPs can, bizarrely, choose to opt in or opt out of participating in the ACS.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Healthcare providers were invited to bid for the ACS contract in June 2017, with a submission deadline of 15 July 2017. The 15 year contract, worth up to \u00a35.4 billion, is expected to go \u2018live\u2019 on 1 April 2018.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Surrey Heartlands<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Simon Stevens announced a devolution agreement in Surrey Heartlands in June 2017, comparing it to the deal arrived at with Greater Manchester. The agreement \u2018will bring together the NHS locally with Surrey County Council to integrate health and social care services\u2019.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Cambridgeshire and Peterborough<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This was the first ACS-type car crash in England. This \u00a3800 million older people and community services five year project collapsed in December 2015. It \u2018lived\u2019 for just eight months. The consortium partners were Cambridge CCG, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust and Cambridge and Peterborough NHS Foundation Trust. The failure is variously attributed to \u2018failure to reach agreement on contract cost\u2019 and \u2018lack of financial sustainability\u2019. The two Trusts shared \u2018unfunded costs \u2018(i.e. losses) of \u00a316 million.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Torbay and South Devon<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Here the \u00a0initial consortium line up was South Devon and Torbay CCG, South Devon Healthcare Foundation Trust, Torbay and South Devon Foundation Trust, Torbay Council, South Western Ambulance Services Foundation Trust, Devon Doctors Ltd and community pharmacies. The plan was to develop new Urgent Care Centre facilities in two areas. Primary care records were to be shared with the out-of-hours urgent care provider. Set up in October 2015, it planned to use a system provided by Kaiser Permanente (KP). KP is an American healthcare and hospital gaint with sales in 2015 of $60.7 billion. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But\u2026it\u2019s all going wrong. Torbay \u00a0and South Devon Foundation Trust has pulled out of the ACS claiming its dislike of the risk sharing aspect of the contract. Torbay Council has revealed a \u00a312 \u00a0million overspend by the ACS and has warned of substantial risk to the Council. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Whatever Happened to Social Care?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The total NHS England grant, over four years, propping up the chosen eight ACSs is \u00a3450 million. Stevens emphasises that these eight ACSs are in\u2019\u2026areas of national priority such as cancer, mental health, primary care and reducing the strain on A&amp;E. In the HSJ report of the Stephens\u2019 announcement, it\u2019s very concerning that none of all his \u2018care\u2019 platitudes mention social care. Was this deliberate or an error? <\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>ACS Failures So far Concern Finances \u2013 Never Mind About Service Quality or Quantity<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">What is missing from the Stevens announcement or in publicly available details on the extended line-up of ACSs are vital \u2018ACS life or death\u2019 settings of the annual capitation fee to be charged. For example in the Frimley ACS \u00a0if the annual capitation amount is set at \u00a3500, then the annual ACS budget for the 750,000 residents\u2019 health and social care would be \u00a3375 million. The total four year budget would be \u00a31.5 billion. If the capitation amount is doubled to \u00a31,000 then the annual budget is \u00a3750 million and the four year budget is \u00a33 billion. As the oft-quoted \u2018Alzira \u00a0Model\u2019 (ACS) in Spain showed us throughout 1997 to 2012 \u2013 the capitation was set too low (204 Euros) and the ACS (RSUTE consortium) failed. Compensation paid out by regional government was 69.3 million Euros. The ACS consortium was re-constituted (RSUTE II) at a higher, and progressively higher, capitation amount (379 Euros in 2004 up to 639 Euros in 2012). Under the RSUTE II consortium there were doctor shortages, a doctors\u2019 strike and continued staff dissatisfaction. According to a study carried out by the Universities of Zaragoza\/Manchester and Manchester Business School, there were allegations that the \u00a0consortium \u2018cherry picked\u2019 the most profitable medical and surgical specialities. At the same time it was referring HIV and other chronic disorders to other non-RSUTE II hospitals. The annual bill for regional government was very high.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now it\u2019s no surprise, in a way, that the Cambridgeshire and Peterborough ACS and the Torbay and South Devon ACS allegedly failed because of financial problems. The third \u2018strike\u2019 against English ACSs was the indefinite postponment of the Northumbria ACS. It was due to go \u2018live\u2019 on 1 April 2107 \u2013 but didn\u2019t. What brought this one down was Northumberland CCG\u2019s coming clean and admitting it had annual debts of \u00a341 million.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>North West London ACSs Not Amongst the \u2018Chosen\u2019 Ones <\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On a parochial level I do find it interesting and uplifting that none of the \u2018Accountable Care Partnerships\u2019(ACSs in June, 2017-speak) \u00a0for caring for the elderly mentioned in the October 2016 North West London\u2019s (NWL\u2019s) STP have been selected for early grant funding and implementation. Could it be that the inspired, committed and continuous opposition in NW London by activist groups is having an impact? Ealing Save Our NHS, Hammersmith &amp; Fulham\u2019s (H&amp;F\u2019s) Save Our NHS Hospitals and Brent Patient Voice deserve particular praise here. Also Council Leaders Steve Cowan (H&amp;F) and Julian Bell (Ealing) must also take some credit in slowing down the STP steamroller by refusing to sign up to the NWL STP. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>When Will Grants be Replaced by Cost Savings?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In all the surviving ACS and ACS-type projects, few metrics can be found in the public domain which measure cost savings or service improvements. All the ACSs seem to be propped up with NHS England grants. With just three years to go before Stevens\u2019 2014 Five Year Forward View goals must be realised, when will these chosen few, early adopter ACSs actually achieve \u00a0significant (grant free) cost savings? When will there be transparently measurable service improvements? Just how much will the early and late ACS s contribute to the Holy Grail of \u00a322 billion annual NHS cost savings across England by 2020?<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Naylor Review Encourages the NHS to Sell Off Land to Property Developers In Order \u00a0to Fund its own Building Work and Equipment Needs<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Published in March 2017, the Naylor Review analysed how efficiently the NHS uses its land and property. The NHS owns 1,200 sites worth up to \u00a311 billion. Naylor recommended that some should be sold to fund improvements to the rest. He estimates that \u00a32.7 billion could be raised by property sales. The review came back into prominence as the Conservatives confirmed its support of the review in the run up to the 8 June 2017 General Election.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The review falls over itself by saying, in effect, the NHS needs cash so badly for building work and equipment it must sell the family silver. \u00a0Naylor thinks the NHS needs around \u00a310 billion to partly fund Simon Stevens\u2019 Five Year Forward View (FYFV) and partly to repair and repurpose existing NHS buildings. The \u2018independent\u2019 review follows the FYFV\/NHS Sustainability and Transformation Plan (STP) mantras. Naylor recommends that H.M. Treasury match funds and sale revenues the NHS achieves. One could call this incentivisation.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Data Analysis<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The supporting data analysis report prepared by Deloitte contains plenty of esoteric, financial gymnastics. It also, bizarrely, mentions \u2018Affordable Housing\u2019. Naylor, Deloitte, DoH, the NHS and the Government have absolutely no control as to how Local Authorities will evaluate Planning Applications on land sold off by the NHS. For Ealing residents the Deloitte report gets interesting on page 39. The STP sanctioned sale of NHS land in North West London is listed here. This clearly includes selling off large parts of the Ealing Hospital and Charing Cross Hospital sites. (The Guardian of 16 June 2017 quotes seeing NHS plans which would reduce the \u00a0Charing Cross Hospital site to just 13% of its current size).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Ealing Hospital Site \u2018Regeneration\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">So we have the prospect of much of Ealing Hospital site being demolished and property developers building private flats on the site. Typically these private flats will be sold throughout the world. And some of them will eventually be occupied by the owners, some by renters and some not at all &#8211; as the purchase will just be an aspect of someone\u2019s investment portfolio. The site (actually including and originally owned by St Bernard\u2019s Mental Hospital) already boasts 100s of new flats and flats under construction. The infrastructure, including schools, sewage, power supply, water supply, broadband, drainage and car parking is already very stretched. As Ealing has already exceeded its 2012 Local Plan home building targets up to 2026, it\u2019s likely that a legal challenge would emerge if 100s more flats were given planning permission.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Use the Sale Cash for New Homes for NHS Staff?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The NHS Federation, which represents 560 health service organisations, responded to the Naylor Review by asking for the \u2018spare\u2019 \u00a32.7 billion raised through NHS landsales \u00a0to be used to build up to 40,000 affordable homes for doctors, nurses and other key staff. Currently NHS staff struggle to buy homes or find affordable tenancies close to their place of work. The NHS is currently suffering from severe shortages of doctors, nurses, psychologists, psychiatrists and other mental health staff. \u00a0This does seem an admirable suggestion. For the Ealing Hospital site, there would be much local support for building homes for local healthcare workers, rather than luxury flats for foreign investors who might not actually live in or rent out the properties. You never know but Ealing Council planners might even support the NHS Federation plan and the \u2018homes for health staff\u2019 initiative might become a reality.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>\u2018Project Phoenix\u2019- Fire Sale of NHS Land Via PPPs<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Naylor expects PPPs, being hatched way down under the radar by \u2018Project Phoenix\u2019, to be the route to private capital. However some historic context will help to lay all this out: <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Community Health Partnerships (CHP) is a wholly owned subsidiary of the Department of Health (DoH). CHP currently provides public sector investment in the NHS primary and community estate through the Local Improvement Finance Trust (LIFT). LIFT, launched in 2000, has generated \u00a32.2 billion worth of investment. In late 2015, the DoH asked CHP to examine what role Public\/Private Partnerships (PPPs) could play in implementing STPs and moving on from LIFT. A project team was formed comprising a number of NHS bodies. PwC was, of course, on the project team. The team\u2019s mission \u00a0was dubbed \u2018Project Phoenix\u2019.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As part of the project, England has been split up into six regions. London and the south-east will comprise one giant and very valuable area. The first public sector tenders are expected to be published very soon in the \u2018Official Journal of the European Union\u2019 \u00a0(OJEU). The first PPP is expected to go live in late 2017.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">PPPs need their own health warning. They follow on from PFIs which have had a chequered history in the NHS \u00a0Many STPs (and the NW London SaHF cost cutting project) have been \u2018bent\u2019 by taking into consideration long term PFI contract debts. It costs the NHS some \u00a32 billion each year in PFI debt repayment. Barts Hospital &#8211; with 41 years still to go on its expensive PFI contract \u2013 chalked up \u00a3135 million annual losses in 2015. PPPs have had their own spectacular failures. The London Underground PPPs\u2019 collapse is probably the most well known. Launched in 2004 with two private consortia \u2013Metronet and Tube Lines \u2013 each with 30 year PPP contracts. The two PPPs fell apart in 2010, with the Government (i.e. us tax payers) having to pick up and pay for the very expensive pieces.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Who is Robert Naylor?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Just who is Sir Robert Naylor one might ask? There\u2019s precious little I could find in any public records about his education, qualifications or early adult employment. However it\u2019s notable that his dad was the boss of Reading Hospital. He went in 2000 from being the boss of a Birmingham Heartlands Hospital to become the boss of University College London Hospital (UCLH). Over time he became boss of not just UCLH, but five other hospitals. He was knighted in 2008. In 2009 he was picked out as the highest paid NHS executive. By 2011 he was toppled from the number one spot and earned \u00a3262,500\/year. In April 2012 he featured in the World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting where McKinsey &amp; Co orchestrated the healthcare sustainability meetings which begat the FYFV (2014) and STP\/Accountable Care developments (2016). In 2016 he retired from running six hospitals. He\u2019s a property developer and owns a hotel and other properties. .<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Issue: 50 July 2017 &nbsp; This occasional newsletter is researched, written and edited by a group of concerned residents in Ealing, West London who want to preserve our NHS. We view the wholesale engagement of private, for-profit healthcare service suppliers as unnecessary, profligate and dangerous. Increased financial funding is what is needed in our [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1243,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1413","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png","uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",1024,512,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2-300x150.png",300,150,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2-768x384.png",640,320,true],"large":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2-1024x512.png",640,320,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",1024,512,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",1024,512,false],"td_0x420":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",840,420,false],"td_80x60":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",80,40,false],"td_100x75":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",100,50,false],"td_180x135":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",180,90,false],"td_238x178":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",238,119,false],"td_265x198":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",265,133,false],"td_300x160":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",300,150,false],"td_300x194":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",300,150,false],"td_300x350":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",300,150,false],"td_341x220":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",341,171,false],"td_341x400":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",341,171,false],"td_511x400":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",511,256,false],"td_537x360":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",537,269,false],"td_640x0":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",640,320,false],"td_640x350":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",640,320,false],"td_681x0":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",681,341,false],"td_681x400":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",681,341,false],"td_741x486":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",741,371,false],"td_1021x580":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",1021,511,false],"mailpoet_newsletter_max":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Traveling-in-London-2.png",1024,512,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Eric Leach","author_link":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/?author=2"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"&nbsp; Issue: 50 July 2017 &nbsp; This occasional newsletter is researched, written and edited by a group of concerned residents in Ealing, West London who want to preserve our NHS. We view the wholesale engagement of private, for-profit healthcare service suppliers as unnecessary, profligate and dangerous. Increased financial funding is what is needed in our&hellip;","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1413","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1413"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1413\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1414,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1413\/revisions\/1414"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1243"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1413"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1413"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1413"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}