{"id":2041,"date":"2020-05-14T09:04:06","date_gmt":"2020-05-14T08:04:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/?p=2041"},"modified":"2020-06-30T09:05:40","modified_gmt":"2020-06-30T08:05:40","slug":"the-uk-now-has-the-4-th-highest-covid-19-death-rate-in-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/?p=2041","title":{"rendered":"The UK Now Has the 4 th Highest Covid-19 Death Rate in the World"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Deaths\/Million of Population<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>UK: 495<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some countries which are much more densely populated than the UK have much lower Covid-19 deaths\/million rates. These include Bangladesh (2), South Korea (5), India (2) and Israel (31). (Source Worldometer, 14 May 2020).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Why has this happened? Who is responsible? Is new leadership now required in the UK?<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Covid-19 Care Commissioning\/Purchasing\/Supply Chaos<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Clinical Commissioning Groups, NHS Trusts, NHS England, Local Authorities, care homes and now DHSC\/eBay are all purchasing Covid-19 supplies including PPE.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Where is the control? Where is the order? Where is the leadership?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On 1 May 2020, somewhat belatedly, The Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) apparently wrote to all NHS Trusts stopping them from purchasing supplies. This includes PPE. I\u2019m sure NHS Trusts are not intentionally stupid. They have been buying PPE themselves because the DHSC\/NHS England\/CCGs were not commissioning\/purchasing\/supplying PPE!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The latest supply channel is a joint venture between DHSC and the shopping and auction site eBay. The venture is very new and according to \u2019Health Service Journal &#8211; on 6 May 2020 had supplied just 400,000 PPE items to only 1,400 of the 58,000 UK care service suppliers.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ealing Council Leader Julian Bell is alleged to have announced in a Unite Zoom meeting on 12 May 2020 that Ealing Council had been successful in purchasing PPE for four West London Councils\u2019 \u2018local care services\u2019. Following recognition of this, Councillor Bell said the Council would soon be the purchaser of all PPE for all London Councils\u2019 local care services. All this seems quite odd when one considers that the vast proportion of care\/nursing homes are privately owned. Shouldn\u2019t the owners of the homes be expected to provide PPE for their staff? Surely the same logic applies to the vast proportion of domiciliary care staff who are employed by private companies \u2013 their employers should surely provide them with PPE, not Local Authorities.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On 15 May 2020 \u2018The Guardian\u2019 reported on the shambles at the Government\u2019s outsourced PPE depot run by Movianto. Apparently PPE equipment was being stored in a smoke damaged Merseyside warehouse found to contain asbestos. In late March 2020 the Government ordered Movianto to begin distribution of the \u00a3500 million PPE stock. However, because of poor management and staff sickness progress was slow, errors were made and as demand grew apparently it became chaotic. The army was called in to sort it out. It didn\u2019t help that during this period the American parent company sold Movianto to a French company. Questions are being asked as to why DHL lost the contract in 2018 and why Movianto, a loss making company for every year since 2010, had managed to win the \u00a310.5 million\/year contract.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Local Resilience Forums (LRFs) Claim Government\u2019s Approach to Them for Covid-19 Has Been \u2018Top-down, Uncommunicative and Controlling\u2019\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are apparently 42 LRF\u2019s in England and Wales. They have been tasked by Government to respond to Covid-19. A review by Whitehall, revealed in \u2018Municipal Journal\u2019, is very critical of the Government. The leaked report cited withholding vital data and intelligence on the progress of Covid-19. Research was carried out by Nottingham Trent University for the C-19 Foresight Working Group \u2013 a cross-party Government committee.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Local Resilience Forums \u2013 which most people have probably never heard of \u2013 were introduced in 2004 in the Civil Contingency Act to provide the means to those involved in preparedness to collaborate at a local level. There is just one LRF in London (serving 9 million residents!) and it\u2019s based at the London Fire Brigade, London SE1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Will the Government Mishandle Covid-19 Local Testing\/Contact Tracing\/Isolation\/Quarantining?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sadly this is likely.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Public Health Professor Allyson Pollock at Newcastle University and a member of the King Independent SAGE team has on numerous occasions emphasised that the Covid-19 national epidemic is not homogeneous. It is in fact hundreds or thousands of local Covid-19 outbreaks that are active in this country &#8211; all at different stages of \u2018diffusion\u2019.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The key to contact-tracing is local knowledge and meticulous research on the ground. This suggests using Local Authority resources, GPs and the myriad of volunteer groups which already exist in all towns and villages throughout England.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Allegedly Government outsourcer Serco has assembled\/is assembling 15,000 tracers (Call Centre staff?) and 3,000 clinical support staff (recent NHS retirees?). \u2018Health Service Journal\u2019 reported on 13 May 2020 that much of the national test centre data\/results were not being shared with GPs and Local Authorities. Will Deloitte who run these national test centres hand this test data to Serco?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Yet another ex-McKinsey &amp; Co employee is joining the fray and in a top position too. Baroness Dido Harding has been appointed leader of the Government\u2019s Covid-19 Test and Trace Taskforce.\u00a0 Her stint at McKinseys was in the 1980s. However she became notorious for her performance when CEO of TalkTalk for seven years. Her handling of a cyber attack resulted in losses of \u00a360 million, four million customer accounts allegedly hacked, and a loss of 95,000 customers.\u00a0 Baroness Harding also seems to have kept her role as Chair of NHS Improvement. Maybe with the merger of NHS England and NHS Improvement (NHSI), the NHSI Chair\u2019s role is effectively redundant.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The Government\u2019s (as yet unnamed) contact-tracing App is still on trial on the Isle of Wight. If it \u2018fails\u2019 \u2013 on ethical or technical grounds &#8211; the Apple\/Google App, being used in Europe, is waiting in the wings. And, according to \u2018The Times\u2019 of 14 May 2020, there are 43 Covid-19 contact tracing Apps in use worldwide.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>National Audit Office (NAO) Describes \u00a38.1 Billion NHS IT\/Digital Transition Spending as Inadequate and Confused\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ 54% of NHS Trusts reported that their staff could not rely on digital records.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ NAO recommends spending 5% of the total annual NHS budget on IT\/digital transformation. NHS is spending 2%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ Interoperability between new and legacy systems, especially with repeated changes in national strategies has created a fragmented environment.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">+ NHS management of digital transformation at a national level is confused.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>A New Post Covid-19 Healthcare Plan Being Hatched for London<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2018Urgent Action: System Plans for London\u2019 is the title of a 29 April 2020 leaked memo to the five London Integrated Care System (ICS) Chairs and Senior Responsible Officers (SROs). The author is Sir David Sloman, NHS London Regional Director.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The memo asked all these bosses to rapidly review their ICS plans in terms of new Cocid-19 challenges and future care strategies. It also asks them to report against 12 expectations contained in a \u2018Journey to a New NHS\u2018 paper along with a set of slides. They had to reply by 11 May 2020. Why the rush one wonders?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The backdrop to all this is multifarious. Firstly in terms of previous plans we have at least the October 2019 \u2018London Vision\u2019, the January 2019 national \u2018Long Term Plan\u2019, and the November 2017 \u2018London Care Devolution\u2019, and the five London regional October 2016 \u2018Sustainability &amp; Transformation\u2019 Plans. In terms of statutory significance the ICSs have no legitimacy at all. In fact in at least one London region (NHS North West London) its ICS will not be formally born until 1 April 2021. (In NHS NWL for example, the only statutory legitimacy lies with the eight CCGs. Ealing\u2019s CCG is strangely quiet at the moment. The last we heard from the Collaboration of the 8 CCGS was that all but Hillingdon CCG were \u2018partnering\u2019 with other CCGs. No doubt they are all trying to reduce their combined 2018\/19 annual \u2018employee benefits\u2019 of some \u00a310 million).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A bit more NHS NWL flavour here is also relevant. In May 2019 NHS NWL outlined there would be 8 \u2018Place Teams\u2019, 8 \u2018Local Committees\u2019 and 8 Integrated Care Parnerships (ICPs). One year on, one wonders what\u2019s happened to plans for them? Or is planning and strategy a London-wide only approach now?\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It really does seem an age away in 2013 when NHS bosses were preaching about local commissioning, by local GPs with local knowledge. Their bible then was the 2012 Health &amp; Social Care Act \u2013 which ominously is the existing legislation that is being blatantly ignored in spirit and possibly in actuality.\u00a0 <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Now to the content of the memo. A quick glance at the 12 expectations:<\/span><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How are you going to deal with non-Covid-19 acute elective and non-elective work? In other words how are NHS Trusts going to carry out the jobs they are paid to do?\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A consolidation and strengthening of specialist services. Cancer, paediatrics, renal, cardiac and neurosurgery listed. Does this suggest mergers and closures?<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Increase web, telephone and video triage. Never mind the quality \u2013 it\u2019s cheaper than actually having to travel from home and meet a patient in a clinical \u2019setting\u2019.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How will you separate emergency Covid-19 from emergency \u2018other\u2019. (Given that some emergency other patients are locked into the \u2018stay at home\u2019 paradigm and think NHS UCCs and A&amp;E units are awash with the Covid-19 virus).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Develop virtual by default Primary Care and Outpatients. See 3.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Minimise inpatient length of stay and faster Delayed Transfer of Care. See NHS NWL \u2018Shaping a Healthier Future\u2019 case study \u2013 seven years and \u00a31.3 billion spend made little progress on this minimalisation.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Address health inequalities \u2013 see similar unmet aspirations like Climate Emergency and clean drinking water for all the 7.7 billion inhabitants in our world.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Same expectation as in 2.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Merge corporate support services and clinical support services. Cost savings here.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A workforce plan. Good luck with that one. Too few doctors, nurses, consultants, mental health staff at all levels, and too few support staff. Too many commissioners.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A plan to \u2018join together\u2019 NHS institutions and Local Authorities. With different business models, goals, budgets, culture, politics and a shared desire not to open up financial books to each other &#8211; little progress on this front visible over the last seven years. No mention of \u2018Integrated Care Partnerships\u2019.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Public engagement including \u2018deliberate\u2019 forums (e.g. NHS NWL 4,000 EPIC hand-picked sounding board \u2013 which is an attempt at regularly polling a representative sample of the 2.4 million NWL patients).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Revenue and capital cost estimates were asked for. A three phase implementation over 18 months was proposed. But the NHS never meets its timescale projections. A new bit of jargon emerged \u2013 \u2018London Vision the Touchstone\u2019\u2026\u2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 32 London boroughs commission all London\u2019s social care. However it\u2019s clear from comments heard from the London Borough\u2019s of Ealing and Hammersmith that they have not been asked to comment on these NHS \u2018Systems Plans for London\u2019. Yet another painful example of the long running disconnect between healthcare and social care.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A final postscript on NHS London supremo Sir David Sloman. Google can\u2019t find anything about his life prior to 2009. In 2017 he was admonished by the Government\u2019s data protection agency for illegally giving details on 1.6 million patients to Google Deep Mind.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>Is the Care\/Nursing Home Business Model Broken Beyond Repair?<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Most care\/nursing homes in England are privately owned. There are 17,000 nursing and residential care homes in England housing 400,000 people (NHS England, 2019). A lot of homes are part of care groups both small (e.g. Abbey Healthcare) and large (e.g. Four Seasons). Some are run by charities (e.g. St David\u2019s, Castlebar Hill, W5). Care is commissioned by Local Authorities (LAs). The homes are regulated by the Care Quality Commission (CQC). Each home has a contract with a local GP practice. Many GP practices are commissioned by NHS England (NHSE). Some GP practices (e.g. the 75 in Ealing) are commissioned by the local Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG). Where local CCGs have been replaced by regional Integrated Care Systems (ICSs) could it be that the succeeding ICS is the commissioner? For over two years now the Department of Health has had social care responsibilities \u2013 so the DHSC has overall responsibilities for care\/nursing homes. The care\/nursing home acronym soup or tangled spaghetti looks like LAs, CQC, GPs, NHSE, CCG, ICS, DHSC.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u2018Reuter\u2019s\u2019 data analysis up to 1 May 2020 shows at least 20,000 excess deaths in care homes in England and Wales during the pandemic. Is it any wonder then that when the Covid-19 history books are written one of the most painful chapters will be on unnecessary care\/nursing home deaths.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deaths\/Million of Population UK: 495 Some countries which are much more densely populated than the UK have much lower Covid-19 deaths\/million rates. These include Bangladesh (2), South Korea (5), India (2) and Israel (31). (Source Worldometer, 14 May 2020). Why has this happened? Who is responsible? Is new leadership now required in the UK? &nbsp; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png","uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",1024,512,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3-150x150.png",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3-300x150.png",300,150,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3-768x384.png",640,320,true],"large":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3-1024x512.png",640,320,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",1024,512,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",1024,512,false],"td_0x420":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",840,420,false],"td_80x60":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",80,40,false],"td_100x75":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",100,50,false],"td_180x135":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",180,90,false],"td_238x178":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",238,119,false],"td_265x198":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",265,133,false],"td_300x160":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",300,150,false],"td_300x194":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",300,150,false],"td_300x350":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",300,150,false],"td_341x220":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",341,171,false],"td_341x400":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",341,171,false],"td_511x400":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",511,256,false],"td_537x360":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",537,269,false],"td_640x0":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",640,320,false],"td_640x350":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",640,320,false],"td_681x0":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",681,341,false],"td_681x400":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",681,341,false],"td_741x486":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",741,371,false],"td_1021x580":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",1021,511,false],"mailpoet_newsletter_max":["https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Traveling-in-London-3.png",1024,512,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Eric Leach","author_link":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/?author=2"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Deaths\/Million of Population UK: 495 Some countries which are much more densely populated than the UK have much lower Covid-19 deaths\/million rates. These include Bangladesh (2), South Korea (5), India (2) and Israel (31). (Source Worldometer, 14 May 2020). Why has this happened? Who is responsible? Is new leadership now required in the UK? &nbsp;&hellip;","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2041"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2041\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2042,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2041\/revisions\/2042"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1260"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ealingsaveournhs.org.uk\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}